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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for had a probability of 6.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a win it was 1-2 (2.05%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
82.57% | 10.53% | 6.9% |
Both teams to score 59.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.9% | 19.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
63.18% | 36.81% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.61% | 3.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.13% | 14.87% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.04% | 37.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.27% | 74.73% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
3-0 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 7.38% 2-1 @ 7.15% 4-0 @ 7.06% 4-1 @ 6.84% 5-0 @ 4.78% 5-1 @ 4.63% 1-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-2 @ 3.31% 6-0 @ 2.7% 6-1 @ 2.61% 5-2 @ 2.24% 7-0 @ 1.31% 6-2 @ 1.27% 7-1 @ 1.27% 4-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 4.3% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 4.22% 2-2 @ 3.46% 0-0 @ 1.29% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.3% Total : 10.53% | 1-2 @ 2.05% 0-1 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.49% Total : 6.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
5 | FC Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
7 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
8 | Cambuur | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
9 | EmmenEmmen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
10 | Groningen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
11 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
12 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 |
13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
17 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 0 |
18 | Vitesse | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 |
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