Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
