Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
