Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
