Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 60.29%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 19.88% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 0-1 (7.18%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
