Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
