Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.
