Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 68.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Roda JC win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
