Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
