Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
