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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 12, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld
Werder Bremen logo
Carl Zeiss
0 - 2
Werder Bremen

Oesterhelweg (13'), Steinherr (40'), D. (44'), Slamar (45+3'), Eckardt (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sargent (49'), Chong (88')
Selke (45+3')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Carl Zeiss Jena and Werder Bremen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Carl Zeiss Jena win it was 2-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Carl Zeiss JenaDrawWerder Bremen
17.59%19.18%63.22%
Both teams to score 60.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.94%34.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.07%55.93%
Carl Zeiss Jena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46%32.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93%69.07%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7%10.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.29%33.71%
Score Analysis
    Carl Zeiss Jena 17.59%
    Werder Bremen 63.22%
    Draw 19.18%
Carl Zeiss JenaDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 4.8%
1-0 @ 3.76%
2-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-1 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 17.59%
1-1 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 5.46%
0-0 @ 3.35%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.18%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-2 @ 8.66%
0-1 @ 7.62%
1-3 @ 7.37%
0-3 @ 6.56%
1-4 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 4.14%
0-4 @ 3.73%
2-4 @ 2.35%
1-5 @ 1.9%
0-5 @ 1.7%
2-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 63.22%

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