Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Banfield win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
