Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
