Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Lanus and Boca Juniors.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
