Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Boca Juniors and Newell's Old Boys.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
