Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
