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Atletico Tucuman
Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Nov 6, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Independiente
Tucuman
1 - 1
Independiente
Heredia (40')
Toledo (43'), Alustiza (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Romero (20')
Rodriguez (86'), Romero (88')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Atletico Tucuman and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawIndependiente
30.2%29.49%40.31%
Both teams to score 42.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.89%64.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.74%83.26%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96%38.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19%74.8%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81%31.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47%67.52%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 30.19%
    Independiente 40.31%
    Draw 29.49%
Atletico TucumanDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 11.46%
2-1 @ 6.46%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 30.19%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.86%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.49%
0-1 @ 13.82%
0-2 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-3 @ 3.13%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.31%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2020 12.30am
Second Stage
Independiente
1-0
Tucuman
Romero (27' pen.)
Romero (42')

Carrera (27'), Mussis (31'), Acosta (50')
Carrera (49')
Sep 22, 2019 12am
Gameweek 7
Tucuman
0-1
Independiente

Cabral (13'), Heredia (17'), Ortiz (27'), Bianchi (45'), Toledo (65')
Palacios (62')
Benavidez (17'), Franco (25'), Silva (33')
Oct 28, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 10
Tucuman
4-2
Independiente
Aliendro (14', 43'), Rodriguez (85' pen.), Alvarez (92')
Lucchetti (33'), San Roman (45'), Nunez (45')
Gaibor (35' pen.), Gigliotti (52')
Figal (0'), Hernandez (55')
Hernandez (56')
[nma]
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