Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 62.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Estudiantes Merida win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
