Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
