Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Deportivo Binacional had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Deportivo Binacional win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
