Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 clash between Ceara and Santos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Santos had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.
