Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Wuhan Zall had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Wuhan Zall win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
