Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Tianjin TEDA had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Tianjin TEDA win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.