Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Henan Jianye win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.