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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
56.54% | 26.04% | 17.42% |
Both teams to score 39.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.11% | 61.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.35% | 81.65% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% | 22.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.5% | 55.5% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.62% | 49.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.78% | 84.22% |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 16.47% 2-0 @ 12.42% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 4.41% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.39% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 7.71% 1-2 @ 4.1% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 35 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 77 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 55 | 31 | 24 | 64 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 60 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 35 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 58 |
5 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 57 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 55 |
7 | Millwall | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 54 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 52 |
9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 51 |
10 | Sunderland | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 49 |
11 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 48 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 47 |
13 | Hull City | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 45 |
14 | Bristol City | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
15 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 44 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 43 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 43 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 40 |
19 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 39 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 38 |
22 | Blackpool | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 32 |
23 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 32 |
24 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 31 |
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