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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.79%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Luton Town |
40.79% | 30.38% | 28.83% |
Both teams to score 39.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.89% | 67.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.66% | 85.34% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.54% | 32.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.02% | 68.98% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.15% | 40.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% | 77.42% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 14.91% 2-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 7.52% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 13.25% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.37% | 0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.29% Total : 28.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 65 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 58 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 45 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 44 |
6 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 43 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
9 | Millwall | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 42 |
10 | Sunderland | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 41 |
11 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 40 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 39 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 38 |
15 | Hull City | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 37 |
16 | Reading | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 37 |
17 | Bristol City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 33 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 33 |
19 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 32 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 26 |
23 | Blackpool | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 26 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 25 |
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