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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
45.45% | 29.61% | 24.94% |
Both teams to score 39.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.57% | 66.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.12% | 84.88% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.53% | 29.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% | 65.47% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.12% | 43.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.97% | 80.03% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 15.8% 2-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 7.95% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.35% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 12.93% 2-2 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.61% | 0-1 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Burnley | 40 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 90 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 40 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 76 |
3 | Luton TownLuton | 41 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 71 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 74 | 50 | 24 | 68 |
5 | Millwall | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 62 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 40 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 62 |
7 | Preston North EndPreston | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 62 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 61 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 41 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 59 |
10 | Sunderland | 41 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 58 |
11 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 57 |
12 | Watford | 41 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 56 |
13 | Bristol City | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 53 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Stoke CityStoke | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 52 |
16 | Hull City | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 52 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 41 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 50 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 40 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 45 |
19 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 41 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 43 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 41 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 40 | 64 | -24 | 43 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 42 |
22 | Reading | 41 | 13 | 8 | 20 | 43 | 62 | -19 | 41 |
23 | Blackpool | 41 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 35 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 41 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 34 |
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