Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.