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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Millwall |
30.31% | 28.76% | 40.92% |
Both teams to score 44.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.25% | 61.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.44% | 81.55% |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% | 36.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.55% | 73.44% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.35% | 29.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% | 65.69% |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.86% Total : 30.3% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 13.21% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 8.03% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.48% Total : 40.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 36 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 71 | 28 | 43 | 80 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 67 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 63 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 60 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 36 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 58 |
6 | Millwall | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 55 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 54 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Watford | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 51 |
11 | Preston North EndPreston | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 50 |
12 | Sunderland | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 49 |
13 | Bristol City | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 46 |
15 | Hull City | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 46 |
16 | Reading | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 44 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
18 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 42 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 42 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 40 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 38 |
22 | Blackpool | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 32 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 32 |
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