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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Birmingham City |
40.76% | 29.16% | 30.08% |
Both teams to score 43.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.92% | 63.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.48% | 82.52% |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.6% | 30.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.4% | 66.6% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.44% | 37.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.66% | 74.34% |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.93% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.72% Total : 30.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 39 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 76 | 30 | 46 | 87 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 39 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 76 |
3 | Luton TownLuton | 40 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 68 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Millwall | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 62 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 39 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 61 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 60 |
8 | Preston North EndPreston | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 59 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 40 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 58 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 56 |
11 | Sunderland | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 55 |
12 | Watford | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 55 |
13 | Bristol City | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 52 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 40 | 14 | 9 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 51 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 50 |
16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
17 | Hull City | 40 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 49 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 44 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 42 |
20 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 42 |
21 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 42 |
22 | Reading | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 41 |
23 | Blackpool | 40 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 42 | 64 | -22 | 35 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 40 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 34 |
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