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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
30.74% | 27.64% | 41.62% |
Both teams to score 47.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.27% | 57.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.52% | 78.48% |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.82% | 34.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.13% | 70.86% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.67% | 27.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.22% | 62.78% |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 37 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 83 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 33 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 69 | 42 | 27 | 67 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 64 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 37 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 61 |
6 | Millwall | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 60 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 57 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 57 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
10 | Watford | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 55 |
11 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 53 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 53 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 48 |
15 | Hull City | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 47 |
16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 |
17 | Reading | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 45 |
18 | Swansea CitySwansea | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 42 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
23 | Blackpool | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 35 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
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