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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
45.91% | 28.68% | 25.42% |
Both teams to score 42.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.55% | 63.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.21% | 82.79% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% | 27.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.66% | 63.34% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.3% | 41.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.83% | 78.17% |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 14.83% 2-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 8.32% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.65% Total : 45.9% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.18% Total : 25.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 37 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 83 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 33 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 69 | 42 | 27 | 67 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 64 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 37 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 61 |
6 | Millwall | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 60 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 57 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 57 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
10 | Watford | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 55 |
11 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 53 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 53 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 48 |
15 | Hull City | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 47 |
16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 |
17 | Reading | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 45 |
18 | Swansea CitySwansea | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 42 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
23 | Blackpool | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 35 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
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