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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Norwich City |
37% | 27.62% | 35.38% |
Both teams to score 48.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.19% | 56.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.25% | 77.74% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% | 29.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.45% | 65.54% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% | 30.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% | 66.76% |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.47% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Burnley | 40 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 90 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 40 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 76 |
3 | Luton TownLuton | 41 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 71 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 74 | 50 | 24 | 68 |
5 | Millwall | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 62 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 40 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 62 |
7 | Preston North EndPreston | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 62 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 61 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 41 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 59 |
10 | Sunderland | 41 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 58 |
11 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 57 |
12 | Watford | 41 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 56 |
13 | Bristol City | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 53 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Stoke CityStoke | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 52 |
16 | Hull City | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 52 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 41 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 50 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 40 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 45 |
19 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 41 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 43 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 41 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 40 | 64 | -24 | 43 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 42 |
22 | Reading | 41 | 13 | 8 | 20 | 43 | 62 | -19 | 41 |
23 | Blackpool | 41 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 35 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 41 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 34 |
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