The Match
Match Report
It was Derby's fifth home league defeat of the season and the second in four days.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Derby County and Barnsley, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Barnsley |
| 36.8% | 27.02% | 36.17% |
| Both teams to score 50.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
