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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
43.45% | 27.95% | 28.6% |
Both teams to score 46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.43% | 59.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.09% | 79.92% |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.79% | 27.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.37% | 62.63% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.2% | 36.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.41% | 73.59% |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 13.03% 2-0 @ 8.48% 2-1 @ 8.48% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.87% Total : 43.45% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 35 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 77 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 67 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 60 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 36 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 58 |
5 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 57 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 55 |
7 | Millwall | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 54 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 52 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 51 |
11 | Sunderland | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 49 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 47 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 46 |
14 | Bristol City | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
15 | Hull City | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 45 |
16 | Reading | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 44 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 43 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 40 |
19 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 39 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 38 |
22 | Blackpool | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 32 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 32 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 32 |
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