Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6%) and 2-3 (5.46%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
