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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
49.41% | 25.21% | 25.38% |
Both teams to score 51.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% | 51.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% | 73.08% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% | 20.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.61% | 53.39% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% | 34.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% | 71.67% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 49.41% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 36 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 35 |
4 | Freiburg | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 32 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 24 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 23 |
12 | FC Koln | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 21 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
14 | Augsburg | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 18 |
15 | Stuttgart | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 16 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 9 |
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