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Jan 20, 2021 at 7.30pm UK at Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Union Berlin
Forsberg (70')
Angelino (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
61.67%20.73%17.59%
Both teams to score 54.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56%41.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.17%63.83%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07%12.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62%39.37%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99%37.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2%73.8%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 61.67%
    Union Berlin 17.59%
    Draw 20.73%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 6.79%
4-0 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-2 @ 1.73%
5-0 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 61.67%
1-1 @ 9.73%
2-2 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-1 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.59%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
58.4%
Draw
28.7%
Union Berlin
12.9%
101
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-1
Union Berlin
Werner (51', 83'), Sabitzer (57')
Haidara (88')
Bulter (10')
Andersson (60'), Ryerson (71'), Parensen (80')
Aug 18, 2019 5pm
rhs 2.0
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