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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
45.19% | 23.96% | 30.84% |
Both teams to score 59.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.62% | 42.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.22% | 64.78% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.03% | 18.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.5% | 50.49% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% | 26.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% | 61.44% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.21% 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.33% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-1 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 52 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 50 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 45 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Freiburg | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 42 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 36 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 34 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 30 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 30 |
12 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 27 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 22 |
15 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 21 |
16 | Stuttgart | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 20 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 20 |
18 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 19 |
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