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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
37.62% | 24.96% | 37.42% |
Both teams to score 57.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.56% | 45.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.22% | 67.77% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.17% | 23.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.99% | 58.01% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% | 23.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% | 58.17% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.62% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-1 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 60 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 59 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 53 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 51 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 47 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 43 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 42 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 30 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 29 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 27 |
16 | Stuttgart | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 25 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 24 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 22 |
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