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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
44.54% | 27.03% | 28.42% |
Both teams to score 48.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.6% | 56.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.59% | 77.41% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% | 25.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.08% | 59.92% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.77% | 35.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.02% | 71.97% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.54% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.08% Total : 28.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 43 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Freiburg | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 36 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 30 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 27 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
12 | FC Koln | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 23 |
13 | Augsburg | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 21 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 19 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 19 |
16 | Stuttgart | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 12 |
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