Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
