Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.
