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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 75.3%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
10.85% | 13.85% | 75.3% |
Both teams to score 63.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.08% | 22.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.84% | 42.15% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% | 33.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.84% | 70.16% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.87% | 5.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.62% | 20.38% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.05% 1-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-1 @ 1.11% 2-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.12% Total : 10.85% | 1-1 @ 5.59% 2-2 @ 4.53% 0-0 @ 1.72% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.38% Total : 13.86% | 1-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 7.59% 0-3 @ 7.52% 1-4 @ 6.1% 0-4 @ 5.58% 0-1 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 4.49% 1-5 @ 3.63% 2-4 @ 3.34% 0-5 @ 3.32% 2-5 @ 1.98% 1-6 @ 1.8% 0-6 @ 1.64% 3-4 @ 1.22% 2-6 @ 0.98% Other @ 4.5% Total : 75.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 59 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 57 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 51 |
5 | Freiburg | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 47 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 43 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 39 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 32 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 29 |
14 | Augsburg | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Stuttgart | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 24 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 24 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 22 |
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