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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
54.4% | 22.88% | 22.72% |
Both teams to score 56.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.11% | 43.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.73% | 66.28% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% | 16.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.58% | 45.42% |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% | 33.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.15% | 69.85% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 6% 3-0 @ 5.44% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 54.4% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.42% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-1 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 60 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 59 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 53 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 51 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 47 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 43 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 42 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 30 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 29 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 27 |
16 | Stuttgart | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 25 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 24 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 22 |
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