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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
39.79% | 26.04% | 34.17% |
Both teams to score 53.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.41% | 50.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.5% | 72.5% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.99% | 25.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.32% | 59.67% |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% | 28.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% | 63.94% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 60 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 59 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 53 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 51 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 47 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 43 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 42 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 30 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 29 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 27 |
16 | Stuttgart | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 25 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 24 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 22 |
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