Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
