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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hertha Berlin logo
Bayern
4 - 3
Hertha Berlin
Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
73.89%15.01%11.1%
Both teams to score 58.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.63%28.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.8%49.2%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.44%6.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.57%24.43%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71%37.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93%74.07%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 73.89%
    Hertha Berlin 11.1%
    Draw 15.01%
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 6.66%
4-0 @ 5.62%
4-1 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 4.01%
5-0 @ 3.06%
5-1 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 2.73%
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-0 @ 1.39%
6-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 73.89%
1-1 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 4.42%
0-0 @ 2.45%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 15.01%
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-1 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-2 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 11.1%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 18
Hertha Berlin
0-4
Bayern

Darida (7'), Jarstein (64'), Boyata (81')
Muller (60'), Lewandowski (73' pen.), Alcantara (76'), Perisic (84')
Pavard (19')
Aug 16, 2019 7.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 23
Bayern
1-0
Hertha Berlin
Martinez (62')
Kimmich (51'), Rodriguez (90')

Rekik (84')
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Bayern
Mittelstadt (3'), Selke (67')
Gnabry (7', 49'), Coman (98')
Goretzka (2'), Lewandowski (120')
Sep 28, 2018 7.30pm
gameweek 6
Hertha Berlin
2-0
Bayern
Ibisevic (23' pen.), Duda (44')
Ibisevic (40'), Dilrosun (90'), Duda (90')

Kimmich (48')
Content continues below the video

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern30188481334862
2Borussia DortmundDortmund30194767402761
3Union BerlinUnion Berlin30168644311356
4Freiburg3016864637956
5RB Leipzig30166854371754
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen301461053411248
7Wolfsburg301210854371746
8Mainz 05Mainz3012994943645
9Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111095046443
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach3099124448-436
11FC Koln30811114048-835
12Werder Bremen30105154858-1035
13Augsburg3087153955-1631
14Hoffenheim3085173951-1229
15Stuttgart30610143852-1428
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum3084183367-3428
17Schalke 04Schalke3069152857-2927
18Hertha Berlin3057183561-2622

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