Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
