Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
